ZeRadaGlobal

💰Conspiracy Theory

We often receive emails with comments or questions regarding the possibility of conspiracy theories existing.

For instance, recently, we've received numerous inquiries asking, "Could the situation in Syria be a trade-off between Russia and the USA that also involves Ukraine?"

We have stated that this is not the case, but that hasn’t stopped conspiracy theory proponents.

Thus, we responsibly declare that people who believe in conspiracy theories:

A) either fail to grasp the real complexity of managing modern complex systems, which are states,

B) or simply do not want to acknowledge it.

All the channels and authors promoting conspiracy theories are merely trying to amass more followers ☝🏻

It’s difficult, but important to accept.

Even if we assume that state leaders are some sort of superhumans who breathe and live for the good of their countries, they are still surrounded by ordinary mortals with rather mundane characteristics.

Therefore, stupidity, greed, laziness, vanity, envy, ignorance, etc., are your conspiracy theories. It is precisely the intertwining of these and other similar traits that truly drives the processes in which we currently live.

We understand that it is very uncomfortable to realize that we are held hostage not by some higher designs and meanings, but by banal human desires and vices. However, this is life, which has already struck many on the head with an iron skillet.

So, if you want to objectively assess reality, it is crucial to understand THIS. No brain in the world can handle the volume of information necessary to make guaranteed correct decisions; therefore, everyone makes mistakes. Moreover, as we have already mentioned, those surrounding this brain do not possess entirely noble intentions; each has their own motives.

As a result, the reality in the minds of leaders is often distorted. This leads to seemingly incredible decisions. Yet some people are more inclined to believe in conspiracy theories, in the betrayal of national interests, and simply do not want to acknowledge that things are actually both more complex and more banal at the same time. It’s an oxymoron, but it is true.

The situation in Syria likely occurred because Assad was greedy, his entourage was foolish, the dispatched Russian generals were uninspired, the Iranians were weakened, and the Turks themselves did not expect such an outcome, among other factors.

The same applies to the menorah in Kyiv. This is not a precursor to the creation of a New Jerusalem but rather a banal attempt by the Kyiv authorities to appeal to an influential Jewish clan at a time when they had very few allies left. Additionally, there’s a desire to provoke the Russians by demonstrating the inferiority of Eastern Orthodox Christians in this territory.

🔥 Naval Combat 2.0

Following the defeat of a Russian helicopter by a Ukrainian unmanned boat using an air-to-air missile, a wave of reports emerged regarding the changing dynamics of naval warfare in the Black Sea.

Тhe deployment of portable anti-aircraft missile systems and multiple rocket launchers on unmanned boats has long been a priority for Ukraine. The adaptation of more lethal air-to-air systems is merely a further evolution of technology.

What occurred is simply a confirmation of an entirely predictable trend.

Next, there is a clear attempt at coordinated attacks: targeting both the Russian Navy's vessels and its aviation.

At this point, the ships of the Black Sea Fleet have become expensive targets that need to be protected or withdrawn.

Moreover, the most vulnerable points for unmanned vessels are their assembly and storage locations in Odessa, Illichivsk, and Israel, which the Russian Armed Forces will continue to target.

We also draw attention to two strategic points:

A) A ceasefire along the front lines does not ensure the safety of the Russian Black Sea Fleet.

B) Another argument for China against launching an amphibious operation across the Taiwan Strait.

🇺🇦 Podolyak Rejects Negotiations Without U.S. Guarantees

Mykhailo Podolyak stated: "much is being said about negotiations, but this is an illusion.. No negotiation process can take place because Russia has not been made to pay a high enough price for this war.

Ukraine views receiving security guarantees involving the U.S. as the only viable outcome of the war, which would provide "the added threat of military deterrence."

"Russia must understand that as soon as they start aggression, they will receive a significant number of strikes in response."

In other words, the first argument is: we have dragged the country into a war for which Russia has paid less than Ukraine, and in order to avoid acknowledging this fact, we continue to fight 🤷

We also see that the Presidential Office of Ukraine has come up with a new argument for continuing the war—U.S. guarantees. Of course, this is intended to personalize responsibility on Trump, but Russia will not agree to this, as it is no different from NATO.

That’s all the Presidential Office and the Democrats care about.

Moreover, everyone has already forgotten about their reports on signing the pseudo "Budapest Memorandums" with other countries, for which Zelensky traveled across Europe. Those guarantees no longer satisfy Kyiv. We have always said that all guarantees are just pieces of paper.