Telegram channel "ZeRadaGlobal" — @zeradaglobal

ZeRadaGlobal

4 Nov, 22:47

🇺🇸 It’s going to be a tough night at Bankova Street...

The prediction market platform Polymarket gives Trump a 58% chance of winning.

Meanwhile, Republicans are given an 81% chance of winning the Senate elections, while Democrats are projected to win the House of Representatives with a 54% probability.

Trump is getting closer...

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ZeRadaGlobal

4 Nov, 20:40

🧩 The Alleged "Istanbul"

"Radio Free Europe" has published what is claimed to be the draft agreement that Russia proposed to Ukraine at the beginning of the invasion.

The document is dated March 7, 2022—11 days after the invasion. It was presented to the Ukrainian delegation during negotiations in Belarus.

The key points included:

✅ Ukraine declares neutrality;

✅ Reduction of the Ukrainian army to 50,000 personnel, including 1,500 officers, four ships, 55 helicopters, and 300 tanks. This is fewer than the Belarusian army;

✅ Ukraine is prohibited from developing, producing, purchasing, or deploying any missiles with a range exceeding 250 km on its territory. Additionally, other types of weapons may be added to this list in the future;

❌ Ukraine recognizes the "independence" of the "Lugansk People's Republic" and "Donetsk People's Republic" within the administrative borders of Luhansk and Donetsk regions;

❌ Kyiv is responsible for covering the costs of restoring infrastructure in Donbas that has been destroyed since 2014;

❌ Ukrainian and international sanctions are lifted, and international lawsuits filed since 2014 are withdrawn;

✅ The Russian language receives the status of a state language;

❌ Restoration of all property rights of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church (UOC);

❌ Repeal of decommunization laws and a commitment not to impose similar bans on Soviet symbols and ideology in the future.

The points highlighted in red were definitely not included in the final "Istanbul" document.

🤷 What funds for restoration?

🤷 What lifting of international sanctions?

🤷 What administrative borders of Lugansk and Donetsk People's Republic? The "Istanbul" talks referred to borders as of February 23, 2022‼️

The staff took a couple of real points that were widely discussed, added a few absurd ones, and voilà—another information occasion that can be debated for a few days.

The unrealistic added points are so harsh that even Putin's latest proposals seem like a compromise in comparison. It feels as though they are nudging the reader toward the conclusion that Zelensky was right not to sign…

In short, it's just a disinformation drop☝🏻

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ZeRadaGlobal

4 Nov, 16:36

🧩🔥🧩Post-Election Escalation

Tomorrow, the United States will hold its presidential elections. Starting tomorrow, Democrats won’t need to show voters that they are focused on domestic issues rather than Ukraine, just as Zelensky won’t have to “stay in the shadows” to avoid giving Trump an opportunity to play the Third World War card.

It can be noted that, despite the difficulties—losing many towns in Donbas and a decline in public support for continuing the war—Zelensky has managed to navigate through this challenging period☝️

Now he needs to prepare for entering negotiations. Clearly, it’s impossible to do this from the current position. A “major note” is needed. Even if it has only a short-term effect, there’s no way to extract more from the current situation. The resources of the parties are simply too unequal.

Zelensky understands that if Trump wins, he will try to negotiate here and now. However, “here and now” is difficult for Zelensky. The entire logic of his actions in office suggests that he will go for a new “counteroffensive” to make “here and now” more favorable.

Are we losing Kurakhovo? Who cares—let’s move forward! What matters is how we finish 😉

Additionally, there are reports of the Ukrainian Armed Forces accumulating armored vehicles: Stryker, Pbv 302, VAB, Bandvagn, Bradley... around 600 units in total. But where exactly are we planning to rush with all this???

Moreover, the Ukrainian Air Force is actively preparing to deliver massive strikes with air-to-ground missiles that have also been supplied.

All this equipment could be useful in Donbas, but despite the difficult retreat there, it hasn’t surfaced anywhere.

The Russians have fortified their positions, and in response to the Kurakhovo venture, Putin did not launch a tactical nuclear strike. The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant comes to mind again, but everything there is also heavily fortified.

We will be watching.

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ZeRadaGlobal

4 Nov, 11:20

🇲🇩 Interestingly, the website of the Central Election Commission of Moldova states: "results in Moldova" and "total."

So now it seems there are two presidents: the president of all Moldovans and the president of Moldovans in Moldova 🤷

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ZeRadaGlobal

4 Nov, 10:58

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🇺🇸⚡️🇪🇺 Trump promises at rally to "finish off" Europe tariffs of 100-200% on goods.

He stated that EU countries are "as bad as China" for blocking American products while continuing to ship their goods to the U.S.

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ZeRadaGlobal

4 Nov, 10:31

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🇪🇸 Beginning of the Flood in Valencia and Its Consequences

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ZeRadaGlobal

4 Nov, 00:55

🇲🇩 By morning, the vote counting in Moldova will be completed.

It seems that the president within the country will be Stoianoglo, while the president of the diaspora will be Sandu.

We're not discussing the tricks and tactics of the parties here, but rather the first country where the diaspora officially influences how people in the country will live.

We wrote about this after the referendum and the first round of voting.

The Moldovan experience is particularly interesting for Ukraine, considering the number of people who have gone abroad. We are confident that the team from the President's Office, assisting Sandu, is closely studying the experience of organizing overseas voting in case elections need to be held in 2025☝🏻

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ZeRadaGlobal

3 Nov, 22:38

🧩🧩🧩 The Triumph of Metamodernism

An outrageous and sad, yet intriguing story unfolded in the United States recently. Employees of the New York Department of Environmental Conservation seized and euthanized a squirrel named Peanut and a raccoon named Fred from their owner.

These animals lived with wildlife advocate Mark Longo, where they had become local stars, amassing hundreds of thousands of social media followers.

However, the blogger overlooked state regulations requiring a license for keeping wildlife, thus violating the law. Neighbors complained about the wild animals, prompting authorities to make a harsh (even cruel) decision to euthanize these domesticated creatures out of fear of a rabies outbreak. At that point, the squirrel had been living with Longo for SEVEN years, was domesticated, and likely posed no threat.

This could have been the end of the story, but not in our chaotic information age! The twist is that New York is a predominantly "democratic" state (with a majority supporting the Democratic Party). Consequently, Republicans quickly seized upon the story, imbuing the little squirrel with a sacred significance.

Elon Musk jumped into the fray:

"The government should not be allowed to barge into your house and kill your pet! That’s messed up. Even if it is illegal to have a pet squirrel (which it shouldn’t be), why kill PNut instead of simply releasing him into the forest!?"

Who could argue with such a statement? Everyone feels sympathy for the innocent lives lost—the little squirrel and his raccoon friend!

Social media exploded with countless memes and AI-generated images about the unfortunate animals. Most of them subtly blamed the authorities for what happened: If only Peanut had claimed to be an undocumented immigrant from Mexico, he might have been granted $500 a month instead of a death sentence.

And all this unfolded just three days before the elections. The authorities (read: Kamala) are portrayed as cruel and bloodthirsty (having killed innocent cuties), while Trump is positioned as a protector who wouldn’t allow such nonsense to happen.

Thus, of a butterfly effect squirrel's death could genuinely influence the outcome of the presidential race. This is the world we now live in. Get used to it! 🤷‍♂️

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ZeRadaGlobal

3 Nov, 20:36

🧩🇬🇪🧩 Elections in Georgia: It Turns Out You Can Choose Power Without a Maidan

A week has passed since the elections in Georgia. To recap, the ruling party, "Georgian Dream," emerged victorious. The Georgian people voted against war, foreign interference, and reckless pursuits that lead nowhere.

Local opposition groups threatened a Maidan, but they failed 🤷‍♂️. There are several reasons for this:

🔹 The main one is the lack of support from Western partners. The EU, which is at the forefront of these processes, is currently in crisis: preoccupied with Ukraine, awaiting elections in the U.S., and dealing with internal disputes. While the assessments of the elections were critical, they overall confirmed that the elections took place.

🔹 There is no societal demand for a change in the current government. Most Georgians objectively prefer a balanced, multi-vector policy rather than geopolitical games played on their territory.

🔹 The authorities effectively managed to curb protest activities.

🔹 The unpopularity of the narratives pushed by the Soros activists. Georgians have a clear example in front of them. They also do not wish to "join" the EU and NATO.

Additionally, "Georgian Dream" was not intimidated by Western threats. They were fortunate that globalists are currently distracted from Georgia (they want to prevent Trump’s return). Biden is finishing his term and is unlikely to actively interfere in a new color revolution, as it would only give Trump an opportunity to criticize the Democrats.

The opposition still has the option to refuse mandates, thereby preventing a quorum in parliament, but this rarely works. Personal interests of deputies usually take precedence over ephemeral victories in the common interests of the opposition.

Before our eyes, "Georgian Dream" is doing what Azarov suggested—it continues its path toward the EU, but:

✅ With respect for national interests, unlike how Yatsenyuk signed the association agreement;

✅ Carefully considering each step;

✅ Without exacerbating tensions with Russia, but also without warming relations. The ties remain far from normal, and they are content with that. Meanwhile, Georgians are not ruining their economy and are not rejecting those who have moved from Russia.

In general, it can be stated that after the Rose Revolution, Georgians understood how Maidan ends and chose technocrat politicians instead of promises of an "inevitable accession" to the EU/NATO.

This is a setback for the West. The EU feels uncomfortable negotiating on equal terms rather than trading "beads" for competition with Russia.

Azarov is probably feeling disappointed now; he proposed a similar approach…

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ZeRadaGlobal

3 Nov, 20:12

00:13

🇪🇸 The Spanish royal couple and the Prime Minister were pelted with mud in Valencia as a sign of protest against the slow response to the flooding that occurred in the region‼️

The crowd shouted, "Get out!", "Murderers!", and "Sanchez is a son of a b***h." To calm the discontent, mounted police were called in.

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ZeRadaGlobal

3 Nov, 18:41

🇲🇩 The rule-based world order has come to an end.

It's clear that after the failure in Georgia and the disappointing first round for the globalists in Moldova, they are determined to secure a victory in the second round at any cost. This desperation is stripping away the last remnants of a principled confrontation between "the West and the rest."

Judging by the methods being employed, there are no longer any rules except for the rule of power. If I can do it, I will; no one cares anymore about the previously "respected" organizations that monitor elections and their regulations.

No one is even concerned with maintaining a semblance of decency; the main goal is to win.

A simple example: not only did Sandu fail to open polling stations in Transnistria (just like Zelensky did during the parliamentary elections in 2019 in the controlled areas of Donbas), but now they have also closed the bridge at the border, which people used to travel and vote, citing "mining" concerns.

As of 2 PM, there have already been 316 confirmed violations during the elections in Moldova‼️

It brings to mind 2004, when there were virtually no violations in Ukraine compared to the "Moldova – 2024" campaign.

In summary, there's now just one rule – there are no rules anymore 🧩

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ZeRadaGlobal

3 Nov, 15:43

🇺🇦🧩🇷🇺 Kyiv Elites and Russian Resources

This week, Vladimir Polochaninov wrote that the Kremlin could end the conflict within a month simply by promising the greedy Kyiv elites their frozen assets, after which they would sort things out with Zelensky on their own.

Yes, money is their top priority, but this model of paying for loyalty has been used by Moscow towards Kyiv for over 20 years and has led to negative outcomes for the Kremlin. And we’re talking about real money here—hundreds of billions of dollars.

Just consider this.

Initially, under Kuchma, Kyiv paid for gas with whatever it had: sometimes even with Soviet missiles. As a result, Kuchma brought Soros-affiliated individuals into Ukraine through his son-in-law Pinchuk, who also supplied pipes to Russia. Then, to feed the elites, RosUkrEnergo was created, which profited from gas in both directions. Firtash, Boyko, and Levchik immediately entered the unofficial Forbes list of Ukraine. Where’s their loyalty? In Western bank accounts? Who provoked the Maidan in 2013?

Under Yushchenko, Moscow bet on the "business-oriented" Tymoshenko and signed a contract with her. Yulia made a lot of money from that deal and later became one of the public advocates of anti-Russian sentiment in Ukraine.

During Yanukovych's presidency, despite discounts on gas, he managed to sway the “Party of Regions” faction and pivot towards Europe. The "gas group" was raking in superprofits with one hand while promoting de-Russification through Anna Herman with the other.

Under Poroshenko, Russia turned a blind eye to the Slovak scheme, from which Petya and Co. were making profits "threefold." Additionally, his partner Akhmetov was "gifted" Mariupol and the Rotterdam+ scheme. All of this was done under promises of peace and the passage of relevant laws in parliament.

Then came Zelensky, who had business ties in Russia, and again, after securing new contracts, he followed the same path.

Notice that this pattern has repeated under five different presidents. So who should be offered money? Poroshenko, Tymoshenko, and Boyko again?

Objectively, this model has proven ineffective. Perhaps it might have worked if Kyiv hadn’t relied on globalists in the U.S., who see Russia as their main target, but we haven’t lived in that reality so far…

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ZeRadaGlobal

3 Nov, 13:52

📩 zrg,

precious, revealing and intelligent news reporting, please keep up the great journalism and sharing.

In terms of the article 4 news, is this the first such article the Russian Federation has signed after the break-up of the Warsaw pact? it is assumed it retained one with Belarus. given the assistance North Korea has given Russia is Iran going to seek the same agreement with its ally?
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Thank you for your question!

Regarding Article 4, this could indeed be one of the first such agreements signed by the Russian Federation since the dissolution of the Warsaw Pact. While Russia has maintained some agreements with Belarus, a new agreement with another country like Iran underscores the shifting geopolitical landscape.

The military-political support that North Korea provides to Russia may serve as an example for other nations, such as Iran. In light of increasing international isolation and pressure from the West, Iran might consider entering into a similar agreement with Russia to strengthen its position and gain military or economic support.

However, it is important to note that each state has its own geopolitical interests. Therefore, while the possibility of such an agreement exists, its realization will depend on numerous factors, including internal political decisions in Iran and the dynamics of international relations.

ZeRadaGlobal

🧩Article 5 vs Article 4 Let’s compare the "Treaty on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between the Russian Federation and North Korea" with the NATO Charter regarding allied commitments. In the text of the Treaty, there is Article 4: "If one of the Parties is subjected to armed attack by any sta...

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ZeRadaGlobal

3 Nov, 12:58

After Georgia (where the Soros-backed candidates lost the elections), Goncharenko went to observe the elections in Moldova.

You can't go anywhere without this invaluable asset 🤷‍♂️

Ukrainian politicians are currently closely watching Moldova's experience, especially considering Zelensky's solemn promises to hold elections in the spring and the fact that both countries will have a key resource in overseas voting ☝🏻

Many experts predict that both Sandu and Zelensky will attempt to manipulate election results by leveraging votes from the diaspora in the EU and the USA ☝️

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ZeRadaGlobal

2 Nov, 21:48

🧩🇪🇺🧩 We can't overlook yesterday's date - the 31st anniversary of the European Union (EU).

Legally, the EU was established on November 1, 1993, following the entry into force of the Maastricht Treaty, which was signed in February of that year by 12 countries: Belgium, the United Kingdom, Greece, Denmark, Ireland, Spain, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, France, and West Germany.

Over the past 31 years, the EU has expanded nearly 2.5 times, welcoming 16 more member states: Austria, Sweden, Finland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Slovenia, Cyprus, Malta, Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia. However, in 2020, the United Kingdom exited the EU following a public referendum.

Today, in addition to the 27 full member states of the EU, there are 9 candidate countries: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, Moldova, North Macedonia, Serbia, Turkey, Ukraine, and Montenegro. But it’s complicated. For instance, Turkey has been a candidate for 25 years⁉️

All of this is just bare statistics. Now let’s share our thoughts on the European Union:

🧩 Today, the EU is undoubtedly the most successful globalist project of the last 30 years❗️❗️ Built upon the foundations of two previous economic frameworks - the "European Coal and Steel Community" established in 1952 and the "European Economic Community" formed in 1957 - it has managed to create a political project of a united Europe with a population of 500 million people. Remarkably, it has united countries with vastly different levels of development.

🧩 Of course, it is clear that without the collapse of the USSR and the socialist bloc, none of this would have been possible. However, the Maastricht Treaty was signed in a hurry to solidify the "Greater Europe" project. The creation of the EU was primarily a political move. The allure for future participants was very attractive - freedom of movement for goods, capital, and people. This approach proved to be 100% effective, especially in former socialist countries and former Soviet republics.

🧩 Following this came the construction of the EU matrix, during which all institutions—legislative, representative, and executive—were restructured. Only now do we clearly see how much sovereignty participating countries have lost. It has become evident that the leadership of the EU is completely detached from the realities of life for the peoples of Europe. The level of manipulation in bilateral relations with both EU members and candidate countries is at an all-time high. Moreover, by prioritizing certain "interests of the EU," the union has significantly distorted the real interests of its member states and their populations. The terms "MEP" (Member of the European Parliament) and "EU official" have long become notorious.

🧩 Unfortunately, that’s not all. It turns out that there was a next move prepared in the globalists' project. Starting from winter 2022, the EU is gradually but rapidly transforming into a military-political alliance. No new treaties have been signed; however, military rhetoric has now taken center stage. Increasingly frequent discussions are emerging about creating a pan-European army and pan-European security agencies. The NATO game suddenly seems less appealing due to US involvement. Thus, the "Greater Europe" project is sliding towards a military alliance with a real prospect of conflict with Russia.

And no one asked the peoples of Europe anything. Well, it seems they won’t be asking anytime soon…

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ZeRadaGlobal

2 Nov, 19:55

🇺🇦🧩🇺🇸 Kyiv Elites

The elites in Kyiv form a distinct caste of people. We will dedicate a couple of posts to them in the near future.

Right now, they are all eagerly awaiting the voting in the United States.

Given their somewhat infantile optimism, they see hope regardless of which candidate wins.

With Harris, they hope that the Democrats will pressure Zelensky during the elections and prevent significant foreign interference. Then, they believe they can seize power, strip Zelensky of his parliamentary majority, and certainly govern and manage much better.

With Trump, they anticipate that Donnie and Manafort won’t forgive Zelensky and will issue him a "black mark" in the form of agreements with Russia for peace at Zelensky's expense. Again, they think they can burst into power and start anew with clean hands…

Of course, an integral desire in both scenarios is to carve up the $300 billion of Russian assets. Whether it's in partnership with the U.S., or with the EU, or even with Russia, the key point is that every Poroshenko, Klitschko, and Tymoshenko wants to be part of the deal…

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ZeRadaGlobal

2 Nov, 16:43

00:42

🧩🇺🇦🧩 Who owes what to whom?

Ukraine is increasingly fragmenting into distinct groups.

✅ There are those for whom war has become a natural environment, a means through which they have found their identity,

✅ there are those who are openly profiting from the war,

✅ there are those who fear it,

✅ there are those whose lives have been ruined by it,

✅ and there are those who managed to escape from it, among others.

Providing all of them with fair living conditions within a Ukraine that has lost people, territory, energy resources, its economy, and its education system as a result of the war, and that has become dependent on external aid, is impossible.

This poses an existential problem for Ukraine's future.

Meanwhile, in the rear, this commander will be told that going to war was his sovereign decision, and that the people at home currently lack sufficient motivation to risk their lives so that Zelensky can continue to share his fantastic plans at international gatherings of globalists.

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ZeRadaGlobal

2 Nov, 14:31

🇷🇺🧩🇺🇦 Lavrov on the essential elements of a political resolution to the conflict:

✅ Ensuring the rights, freedoms, and legitimate interests of Russians and Russian speakers in Ukraine,

✅ Guaranteeing a non-aligned, neutral, and non-nuclear status for Ukraine,

✅ Eliminating any threats on Ukrainian territory to the security of Russia.

As long as these points are voiced by Lavrov rather than Putin, there may still be room for "negotiation," but 80% of this has already become the official position.

Notice that new conditions are being added, including internal political ones for Ukraine. Now the Kremlin wants to see Ukraine not just disarmed, but also not acting as an anti-Russia.

The more confident Russia becomes on the front lines and in geopolitics, the greater its demands, which is logical. We warned about this while everyone was celebrating tactical successes and dividing Russia, unwilling to look ahead.

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ZeRadaGlobal

2 Nov, 13:30

📩 Hello,
Thank you for your informed and insightful Telegram news feeds. One question which intrigues me is what is the evidence for the US involvement in the Midan revolution and the Minsk demonstrations?
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Hello! Thank you for your letter and for raising this topic. The history of U.S. intervention in the affairs of post-Soviet countries has deep roots. Moreover, American intelligence agencies and politicians do not hide these processes; in fact, they boast about how they extend their influence across Eurasia. A noteworthy reference is the book "The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives," written by Zbigniew Brzezinski in 1997. Brzezinski, a political scientist who served as an advisor to U.S. President Jimmy Carter on national security, reflects on the geopolitical power of the United States and the strategies through which this power can be realized in the 21st century. He also discusses the need for a geopolitical revanche against Russia, suggesting that to achieve this, it is essential to deprive Russia of its main ally—Ukraine, which he viewed as "the last bastion of the Russian Empire". According to Brzezinski, without Ukraine, Russia would cease to be a Eurasian empire.

Consequently, Brzezinski emphasized Ukraine's importance as a key element in the geopolitical game, and his ideas were reflected in the actions of American politicians during the Maidan protests on 2013. During the height of the "democratic" revolution on Maidan, support was provided to the protesters, NGOs were funded, and active diplomatic steps were taken (notably the visits of U.S. State Department spokesperson Victoria Nuland, U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Geoffrey Pyatt, and Secretary of State John Kerry). All of this became part of a broader strategy to strengthen pro-American sentiments in Ukraine.

The protests in Belarus in 2020 exhibited similar trends and were triggered by dissatisfaction with the presidential election results, which officially declared Alexander Lukashenko the winner. Many Belarusians and members of the international community considered these elections to be fraudulent. The Western community supported democratic movements and condemned the "repressions" by the Belarusian government. As a result, the European Union, the United States, and Canada imposed three packages of sanctions against members of the Belarusian leadership, including President Alexander Lukashenko, election commission members, security officials, and leaders of major state enterprises.

In both cases, we see how the United States utilizes its resources and influence to advance its interests in the post-Soviet space.

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ZeRadaGlobal

2 Nov, 12:59

🌍 Beijing continues to strengthen direct ties with European countries...

During his visit to China, Fico placed the blame for Russia's current invasion of Ukraine on the West, praising Beijing's "peacekeeping" efforts in return.

This was reported by the Slovak publication RTVS.

After talks with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, Fico stated that both leaders agree on the "impossibility of an immediate cessation of hostilities while Ukraine continues to receive military and financial support from the West to sustain the war."

The Prime Minister of Slovakia instead highlighted the China-Brazil "peace initiative," which he plans to discuss in more detail during his visit to Brazil in December. He also announced Bratislava's intention to join the "friends of peace" group at the UN, led by China and Brazil.

Alongside this, Fico criticized the EU for "continuing its military rhetoric," placing the blame for the escalation on the West.

"It was Western politicians in April 2022, shortly after the conflict began, who did everything to avoid signing realistically prepared peace agreements, while Zelensky's peace plan gathered dust as unrealistic, and instead of a new version, the Ukrainian president presents a victory plan," he stated.

The source: https://t.me/Media_Post_UA/21301

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