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⚡️🇺🇸 Remember who consistently favored Trump in the two months leading up to the U.S. elections? That's right—bookmakers!

Now, the platform "Polymarket" is taking bets on the question: "Trump ends Ukraine war in the first 90 days?"

Currently, the probability of the war ending within that timeframe is estimated at 30%. In November, right after Trump's victory, this probability reached 50%.

As you can see, this aligns with the figures we've been providing over the past few months.


⚡️🎥⚡️ Donald Trump has appointed Mel Gibson, Jon Voight, and Sylvester Stallone as special ambassadors in Hollywood, promising to bring Hollywood "from darkness to light."

"These three very talented people will be my eyes and ears, and I will get done what they suggest. It will again be, like The United States of America itself, The Golden Age of Hollywood!" Trump added.

Finally, some relatable guys… I've always liked Sly more than Schwarzenegger 🤷


🇺🇸 Rational Rubio

Future U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio was in the Senate yesterday, where he presented his vision for U.S. foreign policy and answered questions from lawmakers.

Notably, his report barely mentioned Ukraine, which further indicates that Ukraine will not be a priority in U.S. foreign policy under a Trump administration.

Overall, it's worth noting that while Rubio employed some narratives and manipulations typical of modern Western politicians, he appeared significantly more rational than his predecessors.

He focused primarily on the threat posed by China and the importance of the Indo-Pacific region.

The topic of Ukraine came up during the questions and answers session. Russian media seized on favorable quotes from Rubio, such as:

• The main issue for Ukraine is a lack of personnel, not a lack of equipment.

• Ukraine will have to compromise and make concessions regarding NATO membership.

Ukrainian media highlighted points that suited their narrative:

• Russia will have to compromise.

• Russia cannot physically occupy all of Ukraine.

As we can see, he also maintains a fairly balanced position on the Ukrainian issue.


⚡️🇷🇴 Romanian presidential candidate Calin Georgescu gave a high-profile interview to American journalist and Donald Trump supporter Alex Jones.

In particular, Georgescu stated that the EU wants to "take control" of NATO before the inauguration of the elected U.S. president on January 20 and push the region as hard as possible towards a Third World War.

According to the Romanian politician, the "real door" to starting a "Third World War in Ukraine" is in Romania. "Without Romania, they will not be able to control this war", Georgescu said. In his interview with Jones, he also dismissed accusations of ties to Moscow. "Of course, I have nothing to do with Russia. I don't know anybody just a few people, like scientists, but I have nothing to do with politicians in Russia."

In his view, the war in Europe is being instigated by "real fascists" — globalists, which he associates with the financial-banking system, the World Economic Forum, and oligarchs. "I find that the European Union here is the political arm of the globalists, and NATO is the military arm", Georgescu noted.

It is worth mentioning that the repeat presidential elections in Romania are scheduled for May 4, with a second round planned for May 18. Although Georgescu stated his intention to participate in the repeat voting, the country's constitutional court may still disqualify him due to allegations of illegal financing.


🇩🇪 Reuters: China is considering the purchase of crisis-hit VW factories.

Car production in Germany for sale in Europe would allow Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers to avoid EU tariffs on electric cars imported from China, potentially posing an additional threat to the competitiveness of European producers.

Acquiring German automakers could become "most politically sensitive investment yet" as VW has long been a "a symbol of Germany's industrial prowess, now threatened by a global economic slowdown hitting demand and creaking transition to green technologies."

We await comments from German authorities ahead of the elections.


🇺🇸 The inaugural portrait of Trump in 2016 and now.

The supporters of Poroshenko would now say:

"Trump during Poroshenko's presidency" and "Trump during Zelensky's presidency"...


🇺🇸 Gradually, new people are coming into power in the U.S.

House Speaker Mike Johnson has removed "a key Ukraine backer," Mike Turner, from his position as head of the Intelligence Committee.

Johnson stated that "the intelligence community and everything related to [the committee] needs a fresh start."

Later, he told reporters that "this is no slight whatsoever to our chair, outgoing chairman. He did a great job."

An excellent job, but a fresh start is clearly needed.


🎥🤦‍♂️🎥 Britain is set to "put boots on the ground in Ukraine": Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron secretly held talks about deploying British and French soldiers to Ukraine as part of a potential peacekeeping mission. They discussed this with Zelensky and even with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, according to reports from The Telegraph and Daily Mail.

According to information from "sources in the UK government," as well as maps featuring arrows, tanks, planes, and helicopters, British forces plan to:

🚁 Provide fighter jet and attack helicopter patrols along the buffer zone,

🪖 Deploy rapid response forces in the rear and third-echelon armored vehicles to counter any potential offensive,

🚷 Establish a defensive perimeter around Kyiv,

👮🏻‍♀️ Conduct training in western Ukraine under air defense protection on Polish territory.

Another "powerful, victory-oriented" information campaign from Bankova appears downright ridiculous.

Firstly, the UK lacks the funds for this: the Ministry of Defense is already facing financial difficulties, and such a "peacekeeping mission" would add extra strain to the UK's defense budget "at a time when the Treasury is looking for spending cuts." Furthermore, experts doubt that Starmer's plans to increase defense spending to 2.5% of GDP can be achieved before 2030.

Secondly, the UK does not have sufficient military capability for this operation: the British Armed Forces are already severely stretched, and any troop deployment could escalate tensions with Moscow.

Therefore, in order to prevent Starmer's visit to Kyiv and his "100-year pseudo-Budapest Memorandum" from looking completely pointless, the Office of the President funded an information leak in the British press and even created maps for added credibility.

The influence of Bankova Street is evident in the statement that former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson expressed support for the deployment of Western troops to ensure compliance with any peace agreement. Apparently, he was also advising Zelensky on how to draw the maps.


🇬🇧🧩🇺🇦 Like in April 2022

The recent pilgrimage of European globalist leaders to Kyiv closely resembles the events of April 2022, when the West (then united) pressured Zelensky to withdraw from the Istanbul agreements.

Now, just before Trump's inauguration and the challenging period expected with the new administration, hawks have intensified their symbolic support for Zelensky. Aware of his psychological vulnerabilities, particularly his need for public backing, they have begun to visit Kyiv actively (something they had avoided for quite some time) under trivial pretenses.

Starmer has now brought a "symbolic deal" for 100 years.

The key is for Zelensky, feeling their support, to actively resist Trump and not concede to his demands.

The calculation is undoubtedly sound: Zelensky must set such minimal conditions that Trump cannot persuade Moscow to accept them. This will derail negotiations.

For this to happen, Zelensky needs to feel confident. Funding has been provided, weapons allocated, and now it’s time for some moral and psychological coaching before the battle.

Starmer's visit mirrors Johnson's trip in April 2022, after which Ukraine distanced itself from Istanbul 🧩


🌎 Tarnished Legacy

"When the United States selectively applies internationally accepted rules, it undermines its credibility and loses influence in the rest of the world."


No matter how grim the next four years may be, the previous four were hardly a boon for human rights. President Joe Biden, who took office promising that his administration would be different, ultimately undermined those ideals himself—Human Rights Watch has identified him as a hypocrite.

When he entered the Oval Office, Biden claimed he would match his words with actions by making human rights a foreign policy priority. However, Biden’s inconsistent application of purported US values did not go unnoticed. Neither did the seeming disappearance of human rights, once a central component of Biden’s stated strategy, from the administration’s rhetoric.

"The hypocrisy of Biden’s policies came into sharpest relief in his responses to the wars in Ukraine and Gaza".


According to Human Rights Watch, instead of viewing the U.S. commitment to its values as a source of strength, "the administration behaved as though its own stated principles were an albatross around its neck": Biden hesitated to criticize allies for human rights violations… and by the end of his term, he was sending landmines and cluster munitions to Ukraine, despite a global ban on such weapons that had been in place for decades, as well as supplying arms to the Israeli government in light of serious breaches of military law in Gaza.

The organization notes that despite Biden's open criticism of Russia for war crimes in Ukraine… "he ignored or defended similar conduct by Israel as it launched a military campaign in Gaza, and he blocked international efforts at accountability… Biden’s fervent support for the Israeli government’s campaign in Gaza was perhaps his most hypocritical position—and the one most damaging to international law."

It is noted that "in non-Western countries that have long seen hypocrisy in Washington’s promotion of liberal values—will even find it refreshing if Trump drops the pretense of caring about those ideals."

"When policy decisions had higher stakes, members of Biden’s senior team who tried to prioritize human rights were consistently overruled. At times no one was even in the room to remind the president that human rights were supposedly part of the administration’s strategy. The State Department’s Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor lacked an assistant secretary, its most senior position, for the first three and a half years of Biden’s term."


🇮🇱🕊 🇵🇸 Ceasefire in Gaza Reached

CNN reports details of the agreement:

1. A ceasefire will take effect in the Gaza Strip. Civilians will be allowed to return to the northern part of the region, while Israeli troops will partially withdraw.

2. The agreement includes the delivery of 600 trucks of humanitarian aid daily, 50 of which will carry fuel, and 300 trucks will reach the northern part of the Gaza Strip.

3. Hamas will release 33 Israelis, including all women, children, and men over 50. Initially, Hamas will free hostages under the age of 19, followed by men over 50.

4. Israel will release 30 Palestinian prisoners for each kidnapped individual and 50 for each female soldier. Israel will free all Palestinian women and children under the age of 19 who were arrested since October 7.

5. The number of Palestinians to be released will depend on the number of hostages freed and could range from 990 to 1,650 individuals, including men, children, and women.

Negotiations for the next steps will begin on the 16th day, but further ceasefire (i.e., a truce after the six-week period) is not guaranteed.

Iranian media are already celebrating a victory, calling it a historic triumph for the resilience of the Palestinian people ☝🏻


🇺🇸 Trump announced that a deal for hostages in the Middle East has been reached, and they will be released soon.

Just as he said: achieving quick solutions in the Middle East is easier than in Ukraine.


💰💰Limited Sanction Effect

Revenue to the Russian budget from oil and gas sales in 2024 increased by nearly a third, accounting for one-third to one-half of all federal budget revenues over the past decade, reaching the highest level since at least 2018, according to Bloomberg and REUTERS.

In 2024, federal budget revenues from oil and gas sales grew by more than 26%, totaling 11.13 trillion rubles ($108.22 billion).

At the same time, tax revenues from the sale of crude oil and its refined products rose to 9.19 trillion rubles ($89.4 billion) in 2024, making up 83% of the total oil and gas revenues for Russia.

This increase is attributed to rising prices for Urals crude oil, which reached an average of $67.6 per barrel in 2024—10% higher than in 2023.

Additionally, the discount on Urals compared to the global benchmark Brent for taxation purposes has narrowed, despite the price cap imposed by the G7 countries.

Of course, it is important to recognize that Russia managed to stabilize its situation through the devaluation of the ruble. Nevertheless, this outcome was not what the White House had anticipated.


🇬🇧 The UK faces a fate worse than power outages. One of the main problems is a "chronic lack" of gas storage and industrial electricity prices are the highest in the world, according to The Telegraph.

Last week, which marked the coldest January night in Britain in 15 years, a desperate plan was implemented to maintain electricity supply. Households were paying the oldest power stations in the UK £2 million per hour to meet demand.

However, the new British national grid operator failed to provide reliable supplies, resulting in consumers and businesses now facing enormous additional costs that will be reflected in bills in the coming months.

Britain is already spending over £3 billion a year on importing electricity from Europe, making it excessively dependent on foreign sources.

Britain’s prices are nearly 50 per cent above the International Energy Agency median for industrial electricity and 80 per cent above the median for domestic users. Yet, under Labour's plans to achieve net-zero emissions, the UK will require much more electricity for vehicles and home heating, despite it being significantly more expensive than gas.

Despite being one of the largest per capita gas consumers in Europe, the UK suffers from a chronic shortage of gas storage, which is only sufficient for 12 days.

The failure of this most important national policy represents one of the biggest failings in statecraft since World War Two, causing immense harm to consumers, industry, and the economy as a whole. They limit investment, drive energy-intensive industries abroad, and hinder job creation.

The consequences are dire: from loss of competitiveness and rising fuel poverty to the UK's dangerous vulnerability to future energy crises.

The publication raises the question of why an entire generation of political leaders and officials not only failed but has not learned from their mistakes.

In fact, the above serves as an answer to why Johnson broke the Istanbul agreements. The temptation to defeat Russia and gain access to its resources was simply too great ☝️


🤦‍♂️🎥 Yesterday, the media outlets from Bankova street were celebrating a supposed victory, claiming that Iran had refused to recognize Crimea and Donbas as Russian territories, as reported by Middle East Eye.

But there’s one nuance… actually, two.

Firstly, the publication describes the conditions of a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement between Iran and Russia based on a conversation with "an informed Iranian official."

And, of course, there’s no mention of Iran rejecting anything.

Secondly, it’s noted only that the clause on territorial integrity, which has "particular significance for Iran due to the ongoing claims by the United Arab Emirates over the three Gulf islands. This clause, however, does not include recognition of Crimea, which Russia seized from Ukraine in 2014, or other disputed regions.."

So why should these regions be singled out?

It seems they’re counting on the fact that people won’t read beyond the clickbait headline.

The Office of the President appears to be running low on actual victories…


🔥 Frontline Update

In the Kursk direction, after a one-day and very unsuccessful Kursk offensive 2.0, fierce battles continue along the entire contact line. In some areas, the fighting is of a counter-offensive nature. The advancement of the Russian Armed Forces (RF Armed Forces) has been minimal, as the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) continue to control approximately 400 square kilometers of the Kursk region. Therefore, the minimum objective of holding the bridgehead until Trump's inauguration will be achieved.

In the Kharkiv area, the situation remains stable with no changes in the front line. Judging by drone footage, the town of Volchansk could be the setting for a lunar landing film, as it resembles a lunar landscape.

In the Kupiansk direction, the Russian Armed Forces have slightly expanded their bridgehead on the right bank of the Oskol River, but it currently poses no threat to the city's communications. The UAF’s bridgehead on the left bank of the Oskol remains stable. A few days ago, the UAF attempted to counterattack the Russian wedge near Zagrizov, but without success.

In Chasiv Yar, there have been significant Russian advancements over the past couple of weeks. The UAF has been counterattacking since yesterday. If the UAF fails to retake the refractories plant (a key defensive position), the fate of the city will be sealed, as there will be no good defensive positions left.

Toretsk is slowly but steadily falling under the control of the RF Armed Forces. The UAF currently holds positions only in the private sector, which means the city's fate is predetermined. All the convenient defensive nodes have come under RF Armed Forces' control. Thus, they are expected to announce the complete takeover of the city within the next week.

Around Pokrovsk, a semi-encirclement arc is beginning to take shape. The Russian Armed Forces have broken through to the highway between Mezhova and Pokrovsk. Logistically, this doesn't mean much, as the main supply route runs just north of this area. However, it's significant that there are only 2.2 kilometers left to Udachny, which hosts the largest coking coal mine. Recently, coal extraction at the mine was halted due to the frontline approaching closely.

Slightly to the south, the Russian Armed Forces continue their advance along the entire front line toward the Dnipropetrovsk region. The Kurakhove pocket is continuing to be reduced and cleared.

In Velyka Novosilka, the same scenario is playing out. After a certain pause, attacks and attempts by the Russian Armed Forces to cut off the remaining dirt roads, which can still manage to supply the grouping defending this area, have resumed.

In the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson directions, the situation is more or less stable. In this case, as we predicted, neither side has launched offensive actions in these areas despite active disinformation campaigns and psychological operations claiming that an assault on Kherson is imminent.

Objectively, the Russian Armed Forces are currently not prepared to conduct an airborne operation by forcing the Dnieper River.


🇺🇦 Ukraine Extends Martial Law and Mobilization

The Verkhovna Rada has extended the period of martial law and mobilization for another 90 days, until May 9.


🔥Missile Attack

Today's attack was not very massive. As we can see, the targets were energy facilities in the West.

In the Lviv region, cruise missiles struck two critical infrastructure sites in the Drohobych and Stryi districts.

There were no casualties, but there is some damage:

"The region's life support systems are functioning normally. Power outages are not being implemented for now."


🤷🇺🇦🤷 Mass Identity Crisis. How can such polar opposites coexist in a single consciousness?!

In any modern society, whether in the USA, EU countries, or Russia, it's easy to find numerous discrepancies between reality and declared policies. It's like a form of collective schizophrenia, but in Ukrainian society, this phenomenon has reached absolute extremes.

As the war continues, the emotional pressure on the Ukrainian public is only increasing, with widespread depression and PTSD becoming commonplace. In such conditions, it's easy to sell people mutually exclusive narratives.

Yet some examples are so glaring that it's astonishing how the masses fail to see the contradiction:

1️⃣ The Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) and the Territorial Recruitment Centers (TRC). On one hand, the population overwhelmingly supports the armed forces. On the other hand, there is widespread hatred for the TRC, with many labeling them as human traffickers and police collaborators. There are even instances of military recruiters being beaten, stabbed, or shot...

But isn’t it worth noting that the TRC is part of the AFU? Their job is to recruit for the AFU, not for something else. Doesn’t that raise any questions? So is it respect or hatred?

2️⃣ The glorification of Roman Shukhevych and Stepan Bandera alongside the largest menorah in Europe in Kyiv.

On one hand, there are torchlit processions and monuments commemorating the 14th Waffen Grenadier Division of the SS (1st Galician), while on the other hand, there are photos of rabbis in the President's Office.

Did Shukhevych’s comrades really fight for this?

It seems they honor killers in the morning and commemorate Holocaust victims in the evening...

3️⃣ Recently: the anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz.

How can one tear down monuments to representatives of the Red Army across the country while simultaneously seeking participation in events honoring the 80th anniversary of the liberation of this concentration camp by that very same Red Army?

So who are the Red Army soldiers? Heroes-liberators or occupiers of Ukraine?

The unique ability of the second Ukrainian republic to connect such vivid examples of schizophrenia is remarkable☝️


🇦🇲 Armenia and the United States have signed a Charter on Strategic Partnership.

As U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken stated, "this Commission gives us framework to expand our bilateral cooperation in a number of key areas economic matters, security and defense, democracy, justice."

Pashinyan, distancing himself from Russia, is seeking a new partner to help defend against Aliyev. We will likely soon find out how effective this "charter" will be. Azerbaijan is clearly preparing for new provocations.

20 ta oxirgi post ko‘rsatilgan.